Gillard gamble ‘paying off for Labor’

Labor’s leadership change appears to be paying off, with a newspoll showing Labor has a ten-point lead over the Coalition.


The poll, taken between Friday and Sunday and published in The Australian newspaper today, says Labor has an election-winning 10 percentage point lead (55 to 45 per cent) over the coalition on a two-party-preferred basis.

The result is at odds with two Galaxy polls at the weekend, one showing Labor and the coalition tied on 50-50 and the other having the government ahead 52-48.

All three polls make one consistent finding: Julia Gillard is streets ahead of Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister.

Newspoll CEO Martin O’Shannessy says the polls are showing a “very steady” result for Ms Gillard.

The result beats the six point split (53 to 47 per cent) in Labor’s favour recorded in the same poll three weeks ago, just after Ms Gillard deposed Kevin Rudd, and is stronger than the 2007 election result, which brought Labor to power after 11 years.

Labor also leads on primary votes, according to the Newspoll, at 42 per cent (steady since the last poll), with the coalition at 38 per cent (down two points) and the Greens at 12 per cent (up two).

Opposition Leader Tony Abbott’s personal performance has suffered a big dip in the poll.

Only 36 per cent of those polled said they were satisfied with his performance, down six points since the last poll, with 51 per cent dissatisfied (up 10) and 13 per cent uncommitted (down four).

By contrast, Ms Gillard has a personal approval rating of 48 per cent (up 12 points on the last rating achieved by Mr Rudd as leader), with 29 per cent dissatisfied (down 26 points) and 23 per cent uncommitted (up 14).

Mr Abbott has also slipped as preferred prime minister, at 27 per cent (down two points), with Ms Gillard at 57 per cent, up four points on Mr Rudd’s final rating.

Labor still trails the coalition on its ability to handle asylum seekers, scoring 29 per cent (up two points) compared with the coalition’s 39 per cent (down five).

But Labor still leads on its ability to handle the economy, at 42 per cent (down two points), with the coalition at 41 per cent (up two).

Meanwhile, a Galaxy poll for the Nine Network, which aired on Sunday night, put Labor and the coalition dead level at 50-50 on a two-party-preferred basis, with the coalition (44 per cent) leading Labor (38 per cent) and the Greens (12 per cent) on primary votes.